Commodity markets supported by U.S. dollar losses overnight

April 30th, 2015

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Category: Grains, Oilseeds

Soybean Harvest 450x299(Cattle Network) – U.S. dollar losses continue supporting commodity markets. Wednesday’s poor GDP result sent the value of the U.S. dollar tumbling, which in turn tended to boost the ag markets as traders anticipated improved export demand. The general financial market weakness and commodity strength persisted overnight, with some sources also citing the strike by harbor pilots at Argentina’s main grain/soy shipping port. May corn futures rose 0.75 cents to $3.645/bushel Wednesday night, while December stalled at $3.855.

The soy complex led the crop markets higher. Talk that accelerated spring plantings will cause an acreage shift toward corn reportedly boosted the soybean and product markets today, as did news of harbor pilot strike at Argentina’s main grain shipping port. Today’s dollar drop also spurred soy gains. May soybean futures jumped 11.0 cents to $9.885/bushel as Wednesday CBOT pit session ended, while May soyoil gained 0.24 cents to 31.47 cents/pound, and May meal ran up $5.5 to $324.2/ton.

The wheat markets sustained Tuesday’s bounce as the day passed. Wheat futures seemed to post a modest bullish reversal signal Tuesday and generally rallied overnight. Prices sagged around midsession, with nearby KC quotes actually lower at noon, which probably reflected a Russian official’s statement that the country’s wheat export tax will soon be cancelled. Nevertheless, futures mounted an impressive advance into the close. May CBOT wheat futures rallied 5.75 cents to $4.7725/bushel in late Wednesday action, while May KC wheat bounced 3.5 cents to $5.0075/bushel, and May MWE wheat climbed 6.75 to $5.3525.

Cattle futures posted mixed Wednesday closes. Although the U.S. is currently a net beef importer, the value and quality of U.S. sales still makes the market sensitive to big currency swings. Thus, today’s dollar weakness, as well as recent wholesale strength, encouraged CME cattle buying. However, futures turned mixed in late trading, which may have reflected talk about this week’s likely cash market outcome. June cattle futures ended Wednesday having declined 0.22 cents to 150.90 cents/pound, while August cattle moved up 0.35 to 149.15. Meanwhile, May feeder cattle futures vaulted 0.70 cents to 213.05 cents/pound, and August feeders jumped 0.82 to 214.70.

Weight news may have exaggerated CME hog buying. The cash hog and wholesale pork markets continued their seasonal advance Tuesday, with some bullish technical strength seeming to carry over from Tuesday’s GLOBEX trade. Today’s U.S. dollar losses also seemed supportive, but news of a big drop in hog weights last week suggests swine supplies and pork production could slow sharply during the coming weeks. June hog futures leapt 1.30 cents to 81.20 cents/pound at their Wednesday settlement and December ascended 0.40 to 69.00.

Dollar losses also seemed to spur cotton buying. The cotton market struggled early this week to build upon the big surge posted late last week. Dwindling holdings and activity in expiring May futures may have hurt bulls. On the other hand, today’s big U.S. dollar losses appeared to renew bullish momentum, since the implicit price cut may spur export demand. July cotton advanced 0.70 cents to 67.09 cents/pound at Wednesday’s ICE close, while December futures lifted 0.42 to 66.27.

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