Ag markets bounced from Wednesday losses this morning

May 2nd, 2013

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Category: Grains, Oilseeds

(AgProfessional) – Corn futures proved unable to avoid the general commodity rout  Wednesday, although the losses suffered by the yellow grain market were  certainly smaller than those posted by numerous other commodities.   Profit-taking probably played a big role in the corn decline.  Thus, it  was not terribly surprising to see futures rebound early Thursday,  especially with significant portions of the western and northern areas  of the Corn Belt being blessed with heavy snow today.  Corn plantings  are likely to be reported as dramatically behind normal next week.  July  corn surged 7.25 cents to $6.54/bushel early Thursday morning, while  December advanced 5.0 cents to $5.555.

Soybean futures rebounded moderately from their big Wednesday decline in  early Thursday trading.  Concerns about forthcoming demand from China  have heightened in the wake of weak economic reports posted lately, but  realists have to doubt their buying will slow all that much in 2013.   Indeed, the domestic situation remains extremely tight, thereby implying  persistent support for old crop prices.  July soybean futures bounced  3.5 cents to $13.765/bushel in overnight trading, while July soyoil  gained 0.06 cents to 48.91 cents/pound and July soybean meal climbed  $2.2 to $406.6/ton.

Wheat futures were also dragged lower by the broad commodity breakdown  Wednesday, but quickly rebounded in response to the latest news.  That  is, preliminary reports from the Wheat Quality Council tour indicated  the western Kansas crop will be very poor this year, as did a survey of  the Oklahoma crop.  Forecasts for another freeze tonight probably  encouraged buying as well, especially with the northern Plains being  blessed with snow, thereby implying further delays to spring wheat  plantings.  July CBOT wheat futures rose 3.75 cents to $7.2475/bushel in  pre-dawn Thursday activity, while July KCBT wheat climbed 4.5 cents to  $7.8675 and July MGE futures jumped 6.75 cents to $8.225.

Cattle futures rose Wednesday in response to the wholesale strength that  has proven quite extreme so far this week.  Indeed, the afternoon quote  for choice cutout, at 199.49 is the highest figure since the market was  backing away from its record high in October 2003.  Although cash  prices in the Southern Plains were flat around noon yesterday, CME  traders are probably expecting higher prices today and tomorrow.  Thus,  the overnight rise may presage more of the same.  June cattle surged  0.67 cents to 123.15 cents/pound in early Thursday morning trading,  while December gained 035 cents to 128.17.  August feeder cattle futures  climbed 0.25 cents to 148.97 cents/pound, while October added 0.52  cents to 152.97

CME lean hog followed through modestly upon their strong Tuesday gains  Wednesday and continued rising overnight.  The big wholesale decline  posted late Tuesday was largely reversed yesterday, while cash markets  continued their late surge.  The industry is obviously expecting much  more of the same during the days and weeks ahead, with the question  being whether that strength will exceed the gains already implied by  premiums built into CME futures.   June hog futures increased 0.37 cents  to 93.32cents/pound in early Thursday electronic trading, while  December futures edged up 0.10 cents to 78.75.

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